Loan Calculation And Project Appraisal: A Financial Analysis
Part A: Loan Calculation
he solution to part A (i and ii) is presented here-in-below-
Sl No |
Particulars |
Amount ($) |
1 |
Loan amount |
800000 |
2 |
Tenure |
30 years |
3 |
Saving Interest Rate |
1.20% |
4 |
Loan Interest rate |
3.60% |
5 |
Monthly EMI |
3637.16 |
6 |
Total Amount of Emi |
1309378.61 |
7 |
Interest (A(ii)) |
509378.61 |
8 |
Computation of interest at the beginning of 25th Year (A (i)) |
705.62 |
Loan Amount has been provided at $800000
Monthly Emi has been computed by PMT(rate, nper,pv,fv)= PMT(0.036/12,360(12*30),-800000,0)= $3637.16.
Total EMI = Monthly EMI* 360=$3637.16*360= $1309378.61
Interest paid over the loan tenure= Total EMI- Loan Amount=1309378.61-800000= $5,09,378.61
Interest at the beginning of 25th Year has been computed by using IPMT(Rate, Per, Nper, PV, FV)= IPMT(0.036/12,289,360,-800000)=$705.62
Part B
On the basis of above table it may be seen that the principal of loan amount stands at $ 8,00,000 and interest component on same over the period of loan stands at $5,09,378. The said amount being high on account of long tenure of the loan and stands at 63% of the loan amount. Further, in computation it has been assumed that interest is repaid first on loan and then principal. Further while observing amortisation schedule refer in Appendix-1 it can be seen that interest amount has been decreasing over the tenure of the loan on account of repayment of loan.
The above computation has been carried out on the basis of the following assumptions:
- The loan has not been paid off before maturity;
- The loan set off intention is not presented before maturity;
- Interest rate remains constant over the tenure of the loan;
- Loan has not been defaulted.
Part C
The computation of Present value of loan has been detailed in Appendix. Further, the rate of discounting used is1.2 % compounded monthly. Accordingly, the present value stands at $ 1,09,9143.923. (Refer Appendix-1)
The present value has been computed by using the following formula:
EMI/ (1+Rate of Interest/ 12)^time *12
Present Value of 1st EMI =3637.16/(1+.012/12)^1
………………..
Present Value of last EMI =3637.16/(1+.012/12)^360
Post that all the present valued have been added to derive the value of $ 1,09,9143.923.
Part D
Referring to Appendix1 below, it can be inferred that present value of loan computed by discounting @1.2% stands greater than the principal amount set out earlier by the lender. The computation has been based on time value of money. The difference above has been mainly on account of difference in rate of interest used for discounting the amount of Equated Monthly Instalment. Besides, the rate of discounting used in the project represent risk free interest rate as saving bank interest rate tantamount to risk free interest.
Further, the difference amount between the actual amount of loan and the present value as computed in Appendix is $ 2,99,143.9229. The meaning of above is derived from the fact that I am paying extra to lender on account of extra risk the lender by giving loan to me and the difference stands as reward to the lender on account of risk borne by him . The reward amount stands at $ 2,99,143.9229
Thus, the difference in short is on account of excess risk borne by lender.
Part A (i)
The Solution to Part A(i) is presented here-in-under:
Weighted Average Cost of capital |
||
Sl NO |
Particular |
Cost |
1 |
Cost of Debt |
8% |
2 |
Cost of Debt post tax |
6.4% |
3 |
Risk Free rate |
5% |
4 |
Market return |
15% |
5 |
Risk Premium |
10% |
6 |
Beta |
1.20 |
7 |
Cost of Equity |
17.00% |
8 |
Weight of Debt |
3.00 |
9 |
Weight of Equity |
6 |
10 |
Weight of Debt |
3 |
11 |
WACC |
13.47% |
Computation of beta |
||
Sl NO |
Particular |
Cost |
1 |
Beta Levered |
1.2 |
2 |
Beta Unlevered |
0.857142857 |
3 |
Beta of Proposed project |
1.2 |
The basis of above computation has been detailed here-in-below:
- Debt Cost = 8%
- Debt Cost net of tax = 8%*(1-tax rate)=8%(1-20%)=6.4%
- Rf=5%
- Rm=15%
- Rm-Rf= Market Return- Risk Free Rate=15%-5%=10%
- Beta of Bad Inc= 1.2
Beta Inc. is engaged in similar business as the concerned company. Hence, Beta of the same has been considered for the purpose of anlaysis while the other company is conglomerate engage in wide spread business, hence not used.
Beta (A)= Beta (E) /(1+ (1-tax)*D/E)
Part B: Interpretation of Loan Calculation Results
=1.2(1+(1+(1-0.2)*2/4)
=0.857
Beta of the Concerned Company
Beta (E) = Beta (A) *(1+ (1-tax)*D/E)
=0.857*(1+(1-0.2)*3/6)
- Equity Cost = Rf+ Rm * Beta (E)
=5%+ 10% *1.2
- WACC = (debt Cost* debt weight + equity cost* Equity weight)/ total weight
=(6.4%*3+ 17%*6)/9
=13.47%
Part A (ii)
The appropriate discount rate shall be weighted average cost of the capital as the same shall remain consistent irrespective of capital structure of the company (assuming MM proposition 1 holds good). Further, the WACC implies suitable discount required by the person lending money for the required project. Thus, it represents the minimum requires rate of return by the investors of the project. Hence, the same is a hurdle rate below which the project cannot be carried out. Accordingly rate of 13.47% is considered appropriate in the concerned case. (CFI Education Inc., 2018)
Part B (I)
The computation of cash flows over next five years of the project along with changes in working capital has been described here-in-under:
Sl No |
Particular |
year 0 |
year 1 |
year 2 |
year 3 |
year 4 |
year 5 |
Terminal Value |
1 |
Revenue |
800 |
960 |
1152 |
1382.4 |
1658.88 |
||
2 |
Variable Cost (Variable) |
-240 |
-288 |
-345.6 |
-414.72 |
-497.664 |
||
3 |
Fixed Cost |
-80 |
-80 |
-80 |
-80 |
-80 |
||
4 |
Depreciation |
-120 |
-120 |
-120 |
-120 |
-120 |
||
5 |
EBIT (1-2-3-4) |
360 |
472 |
606.4 |
767.68 |
961.216 |
||
6 |
Tax (5*20%) |
-72 |
-94.4 |
-121.28 |
-153.536 |
-192.2432 |
||
7 |
EBI (5-6) |
288 |
377.6 |
485.12 |
614.144 |
768.9728 |
||
8 |
Depreciation |
120 |
120 |
120 |
120 |
120 |
||
9 |
OCF |
408 |
497.6 |
605.12 |
734.144 |
888.9728 |
The basis of above computation has been detailed here-in-below:
- Revenue Year 1= 800
Year 2= Year 1*1.2=800*1.2=960
Year 3= Year 2*1.2=960*1,2=1152
Year 5=Year 4*1.2=1382.4*1.2=1658.88
- Variable cost
Year 1= Revenue (Year 1)*30%=800*30%=240
Year 2= Revenue (Year 2)*30%=960*30%=288
Year 5= Revenue (Year 5)*30%=1658.88*30%=497.664
- Fixed cost Year 1 to 5 =$80 for every year
- Depreciation Year 1 to 5 = 600/5 = $ 120 every year600/5=120 every year
- EBIT=Revenue-variable cost-fixed cost-depreciation
For year 1
= 800-240-80-120=$360
Similarly for other years.
- Tax = EBIT*30%
For year 1
= $360*20%= $72
Similarly for other years.
- Operating Cash Flow = EBIT-Tax + Depreciation
For year 1
= $360-$72+$120=$408
For year 5
=961.216-192.2432+120=$888.9728
Part B(ii)
The change is working capital over next five years has been presented here-in- below:
Sl No |
Particular |
year 0 |
year 1 |
year 2 |
year 3 |
year 4 |
year 5 |
Terminal Value |
1 |
Net Working Capital Level |
80 |
96 |
115.2 |
138.24 |
165.888 |
||
2 |
Change in Net Working Capital |
80 |
16 |
19.2 |
23.04 |
27.648 |
||
3 |
Net Cash flow from sale of Asset |
240 |
||||||
4 |
Realisation of Net working capital at end |
165.888 |
The basis of above computation has been detailed here-in-below:
- Net Working Capital Level
Year 1 = Revenue for (Year 1)*10%=800*10%=$80
Year 5= Year 5 Revenur *10%=1658.88*10%=$165.89
- Change in Working Capital level
Year 1 = Year 1 Working Capital Level – Year 0 Working Capital level =80-0=$80
Year 2 = Year 2 Working Capital Level – Year 1 Working Capital level =90-80=$16
Year 5 = Year 5 Working Capital Level – Year 4 Working Capital level =165.88-138.24=$27.648
- Net Cash flow from Asset Disposal: Disposal/ Scrap Value *(1-Tax Rate )
=300*(1-20%) =$240
- Working Capital Realisation after 5 years = Net Working Capital (Year 5) = $165.89
Part B(iii)
Sl No |
Particular |
year 0 |
year 1 |
year 2 |
year 3 |
year 4 |
year 5 |
Terminal Value |
1 |
Infrastructural Investment |
-600 |
||||||
2 |
Depreciation |
-120 |
-120 |
-120 |
-120 |
-120 |
||
3 |
Salvage Value |
240 |
||||||
4 |
Revenue |
800 |
960 |
1152 |
1382.4 |
1658.88 |
||
5 |
Annual Working Cost |
-240 |
-288 |
-345.6 |
-414.72 |
-497.664 |
||
6 |
Working Capital |
-80 |
-16 |
-19.2 |
-23.04 |
-27.64 |
165.88 |
|
7 |
Fixed Cost |
-80 |
-80 |
-80 |
-80 |
-80 |
||
8 |
Net Cash Flow |
280 |
456 |
587.2 |
744.64 |
933.576 |
405.88 |
|
9 |
Tax |
-72 |
-94.4 |
-121.28 |
-153.536 |
-192.2432 |
||
10 |
Cash Flow after Tax |
208 |
361.6 |
465.92 |
591.104 |
741.3328 |
405.88 |
|
11 |
Depreciation |
120 |
120 |
120 |
120 |
120 |
||
12 |
Cash Flow after Tax & Depreciation |
328 |
481.6 |
585.92 |
711.104 |
861.3328 |
405.88 |
|
13 |
Discounting factor |
1 |
0.881316 |
0.776718 |
0.684534 |
0.603291 |
0.53169003 |
0.53169003 |
14 |
Present Value of Cash flows |
-600 |
289.0717 |
374.0674 |
401.0822 |
429.0026 |
457.9620621 |
215.8023493 |
15 |
Net Present Value |
1566.988 |
The basis of above computation of Present Value has been detailed here-in-below:
Present Value Year 1=Cash Flow (Year 1) *(1/1+ WACC)=328*.881316=289.717
Present Value Year 2=Cash Flow at (Year 2)*(1/(1+ WACC)^2)=328*.776718=374.067
Present Value Year 5=Cash Flow at (Year 5) *(1/(1+ WACC)^5)=861.322*.53169=457.962
Further Net Present Value has been computed by using the formula=
Sigma of Present Value of Cash inflow from Year 1 to terminal year as reduced by initial outlay=2166.988-600=$1566.88
Part B(iv)
Referring to the above table, it can be seen that the Net present Value of the project is positive and hence the same shall be accepted based on the same. Further, it shall be noted that it is just a quantitative measure, qualitative measure should also be harped upon before accepting the project.
PART A (i)
Sl No |
Particulars |
Quantity |
Rate |
Amount |
|
1 |
Share |
5000 |
60 |
300000 |
|
2 |
10 Year Bond |
150 |
1000 |
150000 |
|
3 |
Buy Back Shares |
2500 |
60 |
150000 |
|
4 |
Cost of Debt before Tax |
6% |
|||
5 |
Earnings Before Interest and Tax |
28000 |
|||
6 |
Tax Rate |
NiL |
|||
7 |
Profit after Tax |
28000 |
|||
8 |
Dividend Per Share |
5.6 |
|||
9 |
Dividend received by Maureen |
100 |
5.6 |
560 |
Answer (a(i)) |
The basis of above computation has been detailed here-in-below:
EBIT = $28000
No of Shares=5000
Earnings per share=EBIT/No of shares=28000/5000= $5.6= Dividend Per Share
No of Shares of Maureen=100
Receipt of Dividend by Maureen= 100*$5.6= $560
PART A (ii)
Sl No |
Particulars |
Quantity |
Rate |
Amount |
|
1 |
Share |
5000 |
60 |
300000 |
|
2 |
10 Year Bond |
150 |
1000 |
150000 |
|
3 |
Buy Back Shares |
2500 |
60 |
150000 |
|
4 |
Cost of Debt before Tax |
6% |
|||
5 |
Earnings Before Interest and Tax |
28000 |
|||
6 |
Tax Rate |
NiL |
|||
7 |
Profit after Tax |
28000 |
|||
8 |
Dividend Per Share |
5.6 |
|||
9 |
Dividend received by Maureen |
100 |
5.6 |
560 |
|
10 |
Buy Back Shares |
2500 |
60 |
150000 |
Answer (a(ii)) |
The basis of above computation has been detailed here-in-below:
Debt issued= No of instrument* issue price=150*1000=$150000
Share price at Market=$60
No of share to be bought back=Debt/Share price=150000/60=2500
PART A (iii)
Sl No |
Particulars |
Quantity |
Rate |
Amount |
|
1 |
Share |
5000 |
60 |
300000 |
|
2 |
10 Year Bond |
150 |
1000 |
150000 |
|
3 |
Buy Back Shares |
2500 |
60 |
150000 |
|
4 |
Cost of Debt before Tax |
6% |
|||
5 |
Earnings Before Interest and Tax |
28000 |
|||
6 |
Tax Rate |
NiL |
|||
7 |
Profit after Tax |
28000 |
|||
8 |
Dividend Per Share |
5.6 |
|||
9 |
Dividend received by Maureen |
100 |
5.6 |
560 |
|
10 |
Buy Back Shares |
2500 |
60 |
150000 |
|
11 |
Earnings Before Interest and Tax |
28000 |
|||
12 |
Interest |
9000 |
|||
13 |
Profit after Tax |
19000 |
|||
14 |
Dividend per share |
7.6 |
|||
15 |
Dividend received by Maureen |
100 |
7.6 |
760 |
Answer (a(iii)) |
The basis of above computation has been detailed here-in-below:
EBIT = $28000
Interest= Bond Face Value* 6%=150000*60%= $9000
Part C: Project Appraisal using Present Value Calculation
EBT = EBIT-Interest=28000-9000=$19000
Earnings Per Share =EBIT/No of shares=19000/2500= $7.6=Dividend per share
No of Shares of Maureen=100
Receipt of Dividend by Maureen = 100*$7.6= $760
PART A (iv)
Sl No |
Particulars |
Amount |
1 |
No of shares under existing Capital Structure |
100 |
2 |
Proportion of debt in the capital structure of the company |
50% |
3 |
Total Capital of Maureen |
6000 |
4 |
Total value of shares to be sold |
3000 |
5 |
Total debt to be let out |
3000 |
6 |
Receipt of dividend |
380 |
7 |
Interest |
180 |
8 |
Total Receipt |
560 |
The basis of above computation has been detailed here-in-below:
Debt proportion in company Capital=Debt/ Total capital=1500000/300000=50%
Maureen Capital = Number of Shares* Rate per share=100*60=$6000
Amount of share to be disposed = Capital*50%=6000*50%=$3000
Interest on Debt =Debt Amount * Rate of Coupon=3000*6%=$180
Dividend = No of Shares* Dividend per share=50*7.6=$380
Total Receipt=Interest + dividend= $180+$380=$560
PART A (v)
According to Modigliani Miller theory proposition one, capital structure of the company is not relevant in determining the value of the company. In reality what actually matters is the net operating cash flow of the company on account of weighted average cost of capital of the company remaining constant. Further, it shall be noted that increase in debt does not lead to a corresponding decrease in cost of equity on account of financial distress and higher return desired by equity shareholders for extra risk. However, the proposition is based on two assumptions which do not hold good in the practical world. The proposition are that there are no transaction cost to finance and there is no tax.
PART B (i,ii &iii)
Sl No |
Particulars |
Quantity |
Rate |
Amount |
1 |
Share |
5000 |
60 |
300000 |
2 |
10 Year Bond |
150 |
1000 |
150000 |
3 |
Buy Back Shares |
2500 |
60 |
150000 |
4 |
Cost of Debt before Tax |
6% |
||
5 |
Earnings Before Interest and Tax |
28000 |
||
6 |
Tax Rate |
20% |
||
7 |
Profit after Tax |
22400 |
||
8 |
Dividend Per Share |
4.48 |
||
9 |
Dividend received by Maureen |
100 |
4.48 |
448 |
10 |
Buy Back Shares |
2500 |
60 |
150000 |
11 |
Earnings Before Interest and Tax |
28000 |
||
12 |
Interest |
9000 |
||
13 |
Profit after Tax |
15200 |
||
14 |
Dividend per share |
6.08 |
||
15 |
Dividend received by Maureen |
100 |
6.08 |
608 |
The basis of above computation has been detailed here-in-below:
EBIT = $28000
PAT =EBIT*(1-Tax rate)=28000*(1-20%)= $22400
No of Shares=5000
Earnings per share=EBIT/No of shares=22400/5000= $4.48= Dividend Per Share
No of Shares of Maureen=100
Receipt of Dividend by Maureen= 100*$4.48= $448 (Answer)
Debt issued= No of instrument* issue price=150*1000=$150000
Share price at Market=$60
No of share to be bought back=Debt/Share price=150000/60=2500 (Answer)
Interest= Bond Face Value* 6%=150000*60%= $9000
EBT = EBIT-Interest=28000-9000=$19000
PAT =EBIT*(1-Tax rate)=19000*(1-20%)= $15200
Earnings Per Share =EBIT/No of shares=15200/2500= $6.08=Dividend per share
No of Shares of Maureen=100
Receipt of Dividend by Maureen = 100*$6.08= $608 (Answer)
PART B (iv)
Sl No |
Particulars |
Amount |
1 |
No of shares under existing Capital Structure |
100 |
2 |
Proportion of debt in the capital structure of the company |
50% |
3 |
Total Capital of Maureen |
6000 |
4 |
Total value of shares to be sold |
3000 |
5 |
Total debt to be let out |
3000 |
6 |
Receipt of dividend |
304 |
7 |
Interest |
180 |
8 |
Total Receipt |
484 |
The basis of above computation has been detailed here-in-below:
Debt proportion in company Capital=Debt/ Total capital=1500000/300000=50%
Maureen Capital = Number of Shares* Rate per share=100*60=$6000
Amount of share to be disposed = Capital*50%=6000*50%=$3000
Interest on Debt =Debt Amount * Rate of Coupon=3000*6%=$180
Dividend = No of Shares* Dividend per share=50*6.06=$304
Total Receipt=Interest + dividend= $180+$304=$484
PART B (v)
According to Modigliani Miller theory proposition one, capital structure of the company is not relevant in determining the value of the company. In reality what actually matters is the net operating cash flow of the company on account of weighted average cost of capital of the company remaining constant. Further, it shall be noted that increase in debt does not lead to a corresponding decrease in cost of equity on account of financial distress and higher return desired by equity shareholders for extra risk.
However, the proposition is based on two assumptions which do not hold good in the practical world. The proposition are that there are no transaction cost to finance and there is no tax. In the present scenario, the same does not hold good and accordingly reference is made to second proposition of MM where in it has been stated that value of company shall be increased by the present value of tax benefit on account of interest. Accordingly, the value of company is maximum at 100% debt.
References:
CFI Education Inc. (2018). WACC. Retrieved October 3, 2018, from corporatefinanceinstitute.com: https://corporatefinanceinstitute.com/resources/knowledge/finance/what-is-wacc-formula/
Study.com. (2018). The Modigliani-Miller Theorem: Definition, Formula & Examples. Retrieved October 3, 2018, from Study.com: https://study.com/academy/lesson/the-modigliani-miller-theorem-definition-formula-examples.html