ECO578 Statistical Methods

Answer:

PART A: True or False

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1) F

2) T

3) T

4) T

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5) F

6) T

7) T

8) F

9) F

10) F

11) T

PART B: Multiple Choice

12) Option B

13) Option C

14) Option D

15) Option D

16) Option C

17) Option A

18) Option D

19) Option C

20) Option A

21) Option A

PART C: Fill in the blanks

22) a) Fail to reject

  1. b) Reject
  2. c) Reject

23) a) Fail to Reject

  1. b) Fail to Reject
  2. c) Reject

24 a) H0=The treatment are all equal.

Ha=at least one of them is not equal or all of them are not equal

  1. b) Yes, Factor is significant
  2. c) 20

Question 25

Ho: µ = 17

Ha: µ ≠ 17

Sample size = 25

Sample mean = 14.2

Sample variance = 25

Standard deviation = sqrt(25) = 5

a)

At 5% should the null be rejected?

b)

 Compute the value of the test statistic

 

(a) H0 will be rejected when the p value is higher than significance level (5%).

 

(b) The test statistics

 

 

c)

What is the p-value?

d)

 What is your conclusion? Explain.

 

The p value (for 24 degree of freedom and -2.8 t value) = 0.0099

 

 

 

 

It can be seen that p value is lower than significance level (0.05) and hence, null hypothesis would be rejected and alternative hypothesis would be accepted. Hence, it can be said that hypothesized mean is not same as 17.

Question 26

 Ho: µ >= 10

Ha: µ < 10

Sample size = 50

Sample mean = 9.46

Sample variance = 4

Standard deviation = sqrt(4) = 2

a)

At 5% should the null be rejected?

b)

 Compute the value of the test statistic

 

(a) H0 will be rejected when the p value is higher than significance leel (5%).

 

 

(b) The test statistics

c)

What is the p-value?

d)

 What is your conclusion?

 

The p value (for 49 degree of freedom and -1.91 t value) = 0.031

 

(c) It can be seen that p value is lower than significance level (0.05) and hence, null hypothesis would be rejected and alternative hypothesis would be accepted. Hence, it can be said that population mean is less than 10.

Question 27

What is the sample mean

Sample mean = 108+118+120+122+119+113+124+122+120+123 = 118.9

 

What is the sample standard deviation

Standard deviation = sqrt(218.9/9) =4.93

Standard deviation = 4.93

Use Z or T test? And why?

Population standard deviation is unknown and also, the sample size is lower than 30 and hence, t test would be taken into consideration.

What is your hypothesis test

Null hypothesis H0: µ = 120

Alternative hypothesis Ha: µ ≠ 120

At α = 0.05, what is the rejection rule?

At significance level 0.05, the null hypothesis would be rejected when p value is lower than 0.05.

Compute the value of the test statistic.

 

What is the p-value?

The p value (for (10-1) = 9 degree of freedom and –0.70 t value) = 0.5016

 

What is your conclusion?

It can be seen that p value is higher than significance level (0.05) and hence, null hypothesis would not be rejected and alternative hypothesis would not be accepted. Hence, it cannot be said that mean number of bars is difference from 120.

Question 28

a)Find

b)Find   

c)Write the equation and interpret

y = 1.3152 x-0.2462

d)  Compute R2 and how is it different from adjusted R2.

e) Compute the estimated variance of the regression.

f) Find   

g) Compute the estimated variance of   

Variance of b1 = MSE- Sxx

Sxx = sum(x- x bar)^2  = 94.86

Variance of b1 = MSE- Sxx  = 2.487/94.86 = 0.026

h) Compute the standard error of

Standard error of = sqrt(2.487/94.86) = 0.162

Question 29

a) What percent of the variation is explained by the regression equation?  

R^2 = (4-9)/6.0 = 0.8167

Required percentage = 81.67%

b) What is the standard error of regression?  

 

Standard error = sqrt((1-0.816)^2 * 0.1915) = 0.1874

c) What is the critical value of the F-statistic?

F stat = 13.36

d) What sample size is used in the print out?

 

Sample size = 5

Question 30

a) What percent of the variation is explained by the regression equation?

99.4% of variation is explained by the regression equation.

b) What is the standard error of regression? 2

Standard error of regression is 1.507.

c) Write the estimated equation.

Sales = -19.7 -0.00063outlets +1.74cars +0.410income + 2.04age -0.034 bosses

d) What is the critical value of the F-statistic?

Critical value is 6.256 based on the given significance level coupledwith degrees of freedom.

e) What sample size is used in the print out?

Sample size = 10

f) What is the variance of the slope coefficient of income?

 

Variance = √ SE * n4 = (0.04385)0.5*104 = 2,094.04

g) Assuming that you are using a two-tailed test make a decision using the computed P-value. 

The null hypothesis would be rejected since the p value is zero which is lesser than the significance level. As a result, the alternative hypothesis would be accepted.

Question 31

Null and alternative hypothesis

Ho: TV brand and number of service calls are independent.

Ha: TV brand and number of service calls are dependent.

= .5033 + 0.1195 + 2.6415 + 0.0278 + 6.7639 + 10.0485 + 0.6215 + 8.8323 +6.987 = 37.54

Degree of freedom = (3-1) (3-1) =4

The p value for 37.54 chi square and 4 degree of freedom = 0.00

Significance level = 5%

 It can be seen from the above that p value is lower than level of significance and hence, sufficient evidence is present to reject the null hypothesis and to accept the alternative hypothesis. Hence, it can be concluded that TV brand and number of service calls are dependent.

Question 32

Null and alternative hypothesis

Ho: Ridership is equally balanced.

Ha: Ridership is not equally balanced.

Expected frequency = (10+34+21+57+44)/5 = 33.2

= 41.2892

 Degree of freedom = 5-1 = 4

The p value for 37.54 chi square and 4 degree of freedom = 0.00

Significance level = 5%

It can be seen from the above that p value is lower than level of significance and hence, sufficient evidence is present to reject the null hypothesis and to accept the alternative hypothesis. Hence, it can be concluded that ridership is not equal on all days.

  1. b) The major difference between chi-square and ANOVA is that the chi-square is used when the data is of categorical type and non-numerical in nature. On the contrary, ANOVA is used when the underlying data is numerical with the level of measurement being interval or ratio.

Question 33

When the estimation of mean value of y is done, then   standard deviation with regards to sample mean is given by s/√n

Thus, the confidence interval is given by (Sample mean – margin of error, Sample mean + margin of error)

Thus, the width of the confidence interval is 2*margin of error = 2*critical value * s/√n

When the y’s individual value is estimated for the value of x which is same, then s would be standard deviation

Thus, the width of the confidence interval is 2*s

As a result, the comparison of the two confidence interval width clearly supports the assertion in the question.

Question 34

R^2 =0.95

N = 11

 SST= 100

Now,

Question 35

a)

Null and alternative hypothesis

Ho:

Ha: .

Test stat (t value) = (25.2-0)/15 =1.68

Critical value of t = 2.05

It can be seen that t stat is lower than critical value of t and hence, cannot reject null hypothesis. Therefore, it can be concluded that slope is insignificant and can be assumed to be zero at 5% significance level.

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